Global Carbon Budget: 50 per cent chance warming could consistently exceed 1.5C in 'about six years'

Stuart Stone
clock • 6 min read
Credit: iStock
Image:

Credit: iStock

Stark update warns there is still 'no sign' the world has reached peak carbon emissions, meaning the Paris Agreement's 1.5C target could be consistently breached within a decade

Current emissions trajectories mean there is a 50 per cent chance global warming will exceed 1.5C consistently in about six years, researchers from the Global Carbon Budget team have warned after its latest...

To continue reading this article...

Join BusinessGreen

In just a few clicks you can start your free BusinessGreen Lite membership for 12 months, providing you access to:

  • Three complimentary articles per month covering the latest real-time news, analysis, and opinion from Europe’s leading source of information on the Green economy and business
  • Receive important and breaking news stories via our daily news alert
  • Our weekly newsletter with the best of the week’s green business news and analysis

Join now

 

Already a BusinessGreen member?

Login

More on Climate change

Global Briefing: Spain earmarks €9bn for housing and transport in 'Social Climate Plan'

Global Briefing: Spain earmarks €9bn for housing and transport in 'Social Climate Plan'

May temperatures in Saudi Arabia reaching extremes previously confined to summer , report finds countries can ‘dramatically impact’ plastic pollution without global consensus, and Spain earmarks €9bn for energy transition

Stuart Stone
clock 29 May 2026 • 8 min read
WMO: World set to face yet more record hot years this decade

WMO: World set to face yet more record hot years this decade

UN's World Meteorological Organisation warns it is 'very likely' that global temperatures will temporarily exceed 1.5C for at least one year by 2030

clock 28 May 2026 • 4 min read
'Profound implications': Study finds Arctic Ocean ecosystem may have already passed 'major tipping point' in 2009

'Profound implications': Study finds Arctic Ocean ecosystem may have already passed 'major tipping point' in 2009

Irreversible shift in Arctic Ocean chemical make-up driven by climate change has disrupted the region’s food chain for more than a decade, study suggests

Stuart Stone
clock 28 May 2026 • 4 min read