Global Carbon Budget: 50 per cent chance warming could consistently exceed 1.5C in 'about six years'

Stuart Stone
clock • 6 min read
Credit: iStock
Image:

Credit: iStock

Stark update warns there is still 'no sign' the world has reached peak carbon emissions, meaning the Paris Agreement's 1.5C target could be consistently breached within a decade

Current emissions trajectories mean there is a 50 per cent chance global warming will exceed 1.5C consistently in about six years, researchers from the Global Carbon Budget team have warned after its latest...

To continue reading this article...

Join BusinessGreen

In just a few clicks you can start your free BusinessGreen Lite membership for 12 months, providing you access to:

  • Three complimentary articles per month covering the latest real-time news, analysis, and opinion from Europe’s leading source of information on the Green economy and business
  • Receive important and breaking news stories via our daily news alert
  • Our weekly newsletter with the best of the week’s green business news and analysis

Join now

 

Already a BusinessGreen member?

Login

More on Climate change

Lidl GB ahead of schedule with 'UK first' pledge to align with Planetary Health Diet

Lidl GB ahead of schedule with 'UK first' pledge to align with Planetary Health Diet

Supermarket on course to increase plant-based food sales by 20 per cent this decade, latest sustainability report claims

Stuart Stone
clock 13 November 2025 • 4 min read
Global Carbon Budget: Fossil fuel emissions hit 'record high' in 2025

Global Carbon Budget: Fossil fuel emissions hit 'record high' in 2025

Researchers warn rise in emissions means remaining carbon budget to limit global warming to 1.5C is 'virtually exhausted'

clock 13 November 2025 • 3 min read
Climate Action Tracker: World still on course for 2.6C of global warming

Climate Action Tracker: World still on course for 2.6C of global warming

Latest analysis suggests updated national climate action plans have had a negligible impact on projected temperatures

Michael Holder
clock 13 November 2025 • 5 min read