26 Oct 2009
One in every five US jobs could be green by 2030, according to a major new report published last week by the American Solar Energy Society (ASES) that estimates the emerging energy efficiency and renewable energy (EE&RE) industries could employ 37 million people over the next two decades.
The report, Tackling Climate Change, argues that even when the jobs lost from carbon intensive sectors such as coal and oil are taken into account, the development of a low-carbon economy will deliver a net boost in employment of about 4.5 million jobs.
It also warns that failure to develop effective low-carbon policies will lead to further job losses as emerging clean tech industries migrate overseas.
"If we fail to invest in EE&RE, the US runs the risk of losing ground to EE&RE programmes and industries located in other nations," said the report.
While many clean tech commentators have highlighted the fact that low-carbon industries will create large numbers of high tech jobs, the report notes that the bulk of employment in the low-carbon economy will be in more traditional sectors.
For example, the report predicts that the majority of new jobs will be created in the agricultural sector, with 143,000 new jobs representing more than double the number of jobs created in the next most fruitful EE&RE market – carpentry.
Power plant workers, steel and iron workers, and architects are the least likely to benefit from the green drive, the report says. Those sectors stand to gain just 5,000 jobs each.
Significantly, the 4.5 million jobs – again projected under ideal policy conditions – falls far short of the eight million jobs that the report admits have been lost in the US since the start of the recession.
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lacking credibility
It?s great to see people trying to look at the impact on jobs of climate change policy. And I would instinctively agree that there could be a net job creation as a result of the resulting creative destruction. However, there is nothing in this report that points to serious analysis - there is a complete lack of references and methodology. It calls itself a summary report, with main report to follow (was meant to be posted on 30/10) ? I seriously hope that the main report deals with this deficiency. I rate Business Green highly, and it needs to be sure that it is not publishing pure speculation as analysis, as it undermines the credibility of the site. Are there any economists out there who can give us some better answers? Has anyone found any credible reports on green jobs?
Posted by Jim Woods, 02 Nov 2009